- The latest March barometer of GAD3 for ‘ABC’ offers the following electoral estimation if a general election were to be held at this moment.
El PP obtendría 139-143 diputados, y el 32,4%. El PSOE obtendría 107-111 escaños y el 27,6% de los votos emitidos. Next, the Vox party would reach 43-45 deputies, with an estimated 14.9% of the vote. Unidas Podemos, would have 18-20 seats and 8.9% of the vote.
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More detailed information on conclusions of the socio-political survey can be found at the following link: ABC
Fact sheet:
Universe: Residents with the right to vote in Spain.
Scope: National.
Quotas: by sex, age and geographical area according to the distribution of the electoral roll.
Data collection procedure: computer-assisted telephone interview (CATI) on cell phones (519) and landlines (492).
Sample size: 1,011 interviews.
Sampling error:3.2% (N=1,001) for a confidence level of 95.5% (two sigma) and under the worst-case scenario of P=Q=0.5 under the assumption of simple random sampling.
Interview length: approximately 4 minutes.
Fieldwork dates: March 22 to 24, 2023.
