- GAD3’s latest December barometer for the newspaper ABC offers the following electoral estimates if a general election were to be held at this time.
PP (Partido Popular) would win 28.5% of the vote, with 122 deputies. PSOE would obtain 99 seats and 25.1% of the vote cast. Subsequently, Vox would reach 56 deputies, with an estimated 17.1% of the vote. Unidas Podemos, would have 24 seats and 9.8% of the vote. Finally, Ciudadanos would accumulate 2.5% of the total Spanish vote with 1 seat.
More detailed information on conclusions of the socio-political survey can be found at the following link: ABC
Universe:general population over 18 years of age eligible to vote.
Quotas: by sex, age and geographical area according to the distribution of the electoral roll.
Procedure for collecting information:Telephone interview assisted by
computer (CATI), landlines (405) and mobiles (598).
Sample size: 1,003 interviews.
Sample error: 3.2% (n= 1,003), for a confidence level of 95.5% (two sigmas) and under the worst-case scenario of P=Q=0.5 in the simple random sampling assumption.
Interview length: approximately 4 minutes.
Fieldwork dates: 13 to 16 December 2021.