- GAD3’s electoral survey for ABC on the 19 June elections to the Andalusian regional government offers the following estimates:
The Popular Party (PP) would win 41.2% of the vote, with 53 seats. The PSOE would obtain 33 seats and 25.6% of the vote cast. Next, Vox would reach 16 deputies, with an estimated 14.1% of the vote. Por Andalucía would accumulate 6.8% of the vote and 4 seats. Adelante Andalucía, would obtain 5.8% of the vote, winning 3 seats. Finally, Ciudadanos would be left with 2.2% of the vote without a seat.
More detailed information on conclusions of the socio-political survey can be found at the following link: ABC
Universe:general population over 18 years of age and eligible to vote.
Scope: regional. (Autonomous Community.)
Quotas: by sex, age and geographical area according to the distribution of the electoral roll.
Data collection procedure: computer-assisted telephone interview (CATI), 498 to landlines and 502 to mobile phones.
Sample size:1,000 interviews.
Sample error: 3.2% (n= 1,000), for a confidence level of 95.5% (two sigma) and under the worst-case scenario of P=Q=0.5 under the assumption of simple random sampling.
Interview length:approximately 3 minutes.
Fieldwork dates:7 to 9 June 2022.