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The GAD3 survey for ABC and Vocento gives the following estimate of votes and seats per constituency.
As last week, GAD3 has once again carried out an estimate of seats per province for ABC this Sunday. As for the percentage of the vote, the poll for July 14th shows that the PP would obtain 149-154 seats and 37.2% of the votes. PSOE would follow with 113-117 seats and 28.5% of the vote. Vox with 28-30 MPs and 11.7% of the support. Finally, Sumar with 25 seats and 11.4% of the vote.
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You can consult all the conclusions of the socio-political survey at the following link: ABC
Universe: general population over 18 years of age with the right to vote.
Scope: national.
Information collection procedure: Computer-assisted telephone interview (CATI) to mobile and landline telephone (50%), using sampling by quotas of sex, age and geographical scope according to the distribution of the electoral roll.
Sample size: 6,501 interviews.
Daily sampling error: ± 1.2% (n= 6,501) for a degree of confidence of 95.5% (two sigmas) and in the worst-case scenario of P=Q=0.5 under the assumption of simple random sampling.
Interview duration: 3-4 minutes.
Questionnaire: 11 questions.
Fieldwork dates: 29 June to 14 July.
Estimation: Carried out by GAD3 (Calle Alcalá 75, 28009-Madrid).
