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The GAD3 survey for ABC gives the following vote and seat estimates for the upcoming general and European elections
In view of ABC’s March barometer, GAD3 has carried out a survey which shows the following data regarding the general elections: the Popular Party would obtain between 159 and 165 seats and 37.9% of the support. Next, the Socialist Party would obtain between 110 and 116 deputies and 28.4% of the votes. Vox would obtain 11.1% of the votes, between 24-28 seats. Finally, Sumar would capture 8.8% of the vote, which would translate into 14-18 deputies.
On the other hand, the estimation of the vote for the next European elections on June 9 would be as follows: the Popular Party would obtain 26 seats, the Socialist Party 18, Vox 6, Sumar 5, Podemos 2 as well as Ahora Repúblicas and finally, CEUS and Lliures per Europa 1 seat each.
Technical data:
Universe: general population eligible to vote.
Sample size: 1,005 interviews: 505 CATI (230 fixed and 275 mobile) and 500 CAWI (online).
Daily sampling error: 3.2% (n=1,005) for a confidence level of 95.5%.
Interview duration: 4-5 minutes.
Dates: February 26th to 29th.
Estimation: Carried out by GAD3 (Calle Alcalá 75, 28009-Madrid).
