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Estimated votes and seats in the general election.
Faced with a possible electoral scenario, the survey conducted by GAD3 for ABC indicates that the Popular Party would win 145 seats and 33.8% of the votes. The PSOE would obtain 110 seats with 27.6% of the vote, followed by Vox, which would win 48 seats with 14.9% of the vote. Sumar, for its part, would win 11 seats and 7.5% of the vote, followed by Podemos with 5 seats and 4.7% of the vote.
Technical specifications
Universe: General population over the age of 18 with the right to vote.
Scope: National.
Data collection procedure: Computer-assisted telephone interview (CATI) and computer-assisted web interview (CAWI).
Sample size: 1,023 interviews in total: 498 telephone interviews and 525 online interviews.
Questionnaire: Prepared by GAD3 and validated by the client.
Sampling error: ±3.1% (n=1,023) for a confidence level of 95.5% (two sigmas) and in the most unfavourable hypothesis of P=Q=0.5 in the case of simple random sampling.
Duration of the interview: Approximately 4 minutes.
Fieldwork dates: 27 to 29 May.
Institute: Gabinete de Análisis Demoscópico, S.L. (GAD3). C/ Alcalá 75 – 4º izquierda, 28009 – Madrid
