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The GAD3 poll for ABC gives the following vote and seat estimates
The latest barometer of November for ABC shows that the PP would obtain 146 seats and 35.5% of the support. The PSOE would follow with 116 seats and 29.7% of the vote. Sumar would have between 30 seats and 12% of the vote. Finally, Vox would obtain 28 seats and 11.6% of the votes.
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You can consult all the conclusions of the socio-political survey at the following link: ABC
Universe: general population over 18 years of age with the right to vote.
Scope: national.
Information collection procedure: Computer-assisted telephone interview (CATI) and computer-assisted online interview (CAWI).
Sample size: 1,001 interviews: 601 CATI and 400 CAWI
Daily sampling error: ± 1.2% (n= 6,501) for a confidence level of 95.5% (two sigmas) and under the worst-case scenario of P=Q=0.5 in the simple random sampling assumption.
Interview duration: 4 minutes.
Fieldwork dates: 30 October to 3 November 2023.
Estimation: Carried out by GAD3 (Calle Alcalá 75, 28009-Madrid).
