- El último barómetro de noviembre de GAD3 para el diario ABC ofrece las siguientes estimaciones electorales si se celebraran elecciones generales en este momento.
The Popular Party would win 34% of the vote, with a margin of 141 deputies. The PSOE would obtain 109 seats and 26.6% of the vote cast. Next, the Vox party would reach 41 deputies, with an estimated 14.2% of the vote. Unidas Podemos, would have 19 seats and 8.9% of the vote. Meanwhile, Ciudadanos would not obtain any representation.
More detailed information on conclusions of the socio-political survey can be found at the following link: ABC
Universe: general population over 18 years of age and eligible to vote.
Quotas: by sex, age and geographical area according to the distribution of the electoral roll.
Information collection procedure: Computer-assisted telephone interviewing (CATI) 497 interviews with landlines and 503 with mobiles.
Sample size:1,000 interviews. The estimate was made with a total of 8,191 interviews on the general vote and 12,525 interviews on the municipal vote.
Sampling error: 3.2% (n= 1,000), 1.1% (n= 8,191), 0.9% (n= 12,525), for a confidence level of 95.5% (two sigma) and under the worst-case scenario of P=Q=0.5 in the simple random sampling assumption.
Interview length:approximately 3 minutes.
Fieldwork dates: 21-23 November 2022.