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Estimated vote and seats in the general election
In a scenario of general elections, the GAD3 survey for ABC shows the following results: the PP would obtain 147 seats and 34.1% of the votes. Next would be the PSOE with 115 seats and 28.2% of the votes. VOX, as the third force, would obtain 40 deputies and 12.9% of support. Finally, Sumar with 15 seats and 8.4% of the support.
More information: ABC
Technical data
Universe: general population over 18 years of age with the right to vote.
Scope: national.
Quotas: by sex, age and geographical area according to the distribution of the electoral roll.
Weighting: by sex and age group. Weights between 0.78 and 1.34.
Information collection procedure: Computer-assisted telephone interview (CATI) and computer-assisted online interview (CAWI).
Sample size: 1,018 interviews: 601 by online panel, 302 by cell phone and 115 by landline.
Sampling error: 3.1% (n= 1,018) for a confidence level of 95.5% and under the worst-case scenario of P=Q=0.5 in the simple random sampling assumption.
Interview duration: 4 minutes.
Fieldwork dates: October 21 to 24, 2024.
