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Estimates of votes and seats in the Community of Madrid.
Faced with a possible electoral scenario in the Community of Madrid, the survey conducted by GAD3 for ABC shows that the Partido Popular would win 70 seats and 47% of the vote. The PSOE would win 33 seats with 22.4% of the support, followed by Más Madrid, which would win 18 seats with 12.7% support. Vox, meanwhile, would win 14 seats and 9.4% of the vote.
Technical specifications
Universe: General population over 18 years of age with the right to vote, resident in the Community of Madrid.
Scope: Autonomous Community of Madrid.
Information collection procedure: Computer-assisted telephone interview (CATI) and computer-assisted online interview (CAWI).
Sample size: 1,013 interviews.
Quotas: By sex, age and geographical area according to the electoral census (INE).
Sampling error: ±3.1% (n=1,013) for a confidence level of 95.5% (two sigmas) and under the worst-case scenario of P=Q=0.5 in the simple random sampling assumption.
Interview duration: ~4 minutes
Fieldwork dates: 15-24 April 2025.
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Estimated vote and seats in the municipality of Madrid.
Meanwhile, in a possible electoral scenario in Madrid, the survey indicates that the Partido Popular would win 30 seats and 48.5% of the vote. The PSOE would win 12 seats with 19.5% of the support, followed by Más Madrid, which would win 10 seats with 16.9% support. Vox, meanwhile, would win 5 seats and 9.3% of the vote.
Technical specifications
Universe: General population over 18 years of age with the right to vote, resident in the Madrid municipality.
Scope: Municipality of Madrid
Information collection procedure: Computer-assisted telephone interview (CATI) and computer-assisted online interview (CAWI).
Sample size: 657 interviews.
Quotas: By sex, age and geographical area according to the electoral census (INE).
Sampling error: ±3.9% (n=657) for a confidence level of 95.5% (two sigmas) and in the worst case scenario of P=Q=0.5 under the assumption of simple random sampling.
Interview duration: ~4 minutes
Fieldwork dates: 15-24 April 2025.
