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Estimated votes and seats in the regional elections in the Valencian Community
Faced with a possible electoral scenario, the survey conducted by GAD3 for ABC and Las Provincias during October 2025 in the Valencian Community shows that the Popular Party would win 33 seats and 29.0% of the votes. The PSOE would obtain 27 seats with 25.2% of the vote, followed by Vox, which would win 20 seats with 19.4% of the vote. Compromís, for its part, would win 19 seats and 18.9% of the vote.
Technical specifications:
Geographical scope and universe: Regional scope. Population over 18 years of age, resident in the Valencian Community.
Quotas: Fixed by province. Results weighted by gender, age and province according to population distribution (INE).
Data collection procedure: Computer-assisted telephone interviews (CATI); 443 interviews on mobile phones and 155 on landlines. 415 computer-assisted web interviews (CAWI).
Sample size: 1,013 interviews.
Questionnaire: Proposed by ABC and LAS PROVINCIAS.
Sampling error: ± 3.5%, for a confidence level of 95.5% (two sigmas) and in the most unfavourable hypothesis of P=Q=0.5 in the case of simple random sampling.
Duration of the interview: Approximately 4-5 minutes.
Fieldwork dates: 13 to 22 October 2025.
Institute: Gabinete de Análisis Demoscópico, S.L. (GAD3). C/ Alcalá 75 – 4º izquierda, 28009 – Madrid
