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The GAD3 survey for Mediaset gives the following vote and seat estimates for the upcoming general and European elections
In the scenario of a general election, the Popular Party would obtain between 157-163 seats and 37.3% of the support. Next, the Socialist Party would obtain between 106 and 112 seats and 27.6% of the support. Vox would have 11.7% of the votes, between 28-32 seats. Finally, Sumar would capture 8.7% of the vote, which would translate into 13-17 deputies.
On the other hand, the estimation of the vote for the next European elections on June 9 would be as follows: the Popular Party would obtain 25-26 seats, the Socialist Party 18-19, Vox 6, Sumar 4, Ahora Repúblicas 3, Podemos 2 and finally, CEUS and Lliures per Europa 1 seat each.
Technical data:
Universe: general population eligible to vote.
Sample size: 1,017 interviews:
Information collection procedure: computer-assisted online interview (CAWI).
Daily sampling error: 3.1% (n=1,017) for a confidence level of 95.5%.
Interview duration: 4-5 minutes.
Dates: March 18 to 21
Estimation: Carried out by GAD3 (Calle Alcalá 75, 28009-Madrid).
