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The GAD3 survey for Mediaset shows the following vote and seat estimates for the upcoming elections to the Catalan Parliament
Facing the imminent elections to the Parliament of Catalonia on May 12, the PSC would obtain between 42-43 seats and 29.4% of the support. Next, Junts+Puigdemont per Catalunya would obtain between 35 and 37 seats and 22.4% of the support. Esquerra Republicana would have 18.8% of the votes and between 28 and 29 deputies. In fourth place, the Partido Popular would capture 9.5% of the vote, which would translate into 12 and 13 seats. Next, VOX would obtain 6% and 6 to 9 seats, Comuns Sumar 3.9% and 4 seats, Aliança Catalana 3.4% and 4 seats. Finally, the CUP would obtain 3.3% of the support, which would translate into 2 deputies.
Technical sheet:
Universe: residents with the right to vote in Catalonia.
Sample size: 1000 interviews:
Information collection procedure: computer-assisted telephone interview (CATI).
Daily sampling error: 3.2% (n=1,000) for a degree of confidence of 95.5% (two sigmas) and in the worst case scenario of P=Q=0.5 under the assumption of simple random sampling.
Interview duration: 4-5 minutes.
Dates: April 22 to 25, 2024
Estimation: Carried out by GAD3 (Calle Alcalá 75, 28009-Madrid).
