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Estimated vote and seats in the general election to November 2024.
The latest GAD3 survey for Mediaset offers the following vote projections in a general election scenario. According to the data, the Partido Popular (PP) would be positioned with 141 seats and 32.5% of the votes. In second place, the Spanish Socialist Workers’ Party (PSOE) would obtain 111 seats with 27.7% of the support. Next, VOX would obtain 54 deputies, representing 15.6% of the votes, while Sumar would be positioned with 8 seats and 6% of the popular support. For its part, Podemos would reach 4 seats and 4% of the support. Finally, Se acabó la fiesta would obtain 2.3% of the votes.
More information : Telecinco
Technical data
Universe: population over 18 years of age residing in Spain.
Scope: national.
Quotas: provinces, sex and age groups according to the distribution of the electoral census.
Sample size: 1,036 interviews.
Information collection procedure: 776 computer-assisted online interviews (CAWI) and 260 computer-assisted telephone interviews (CATI).
Sampling error: 3.1% (N=1,036) for a confidence level of 95.5% (two sigmas) and under the worst-case scenario of P=Q=0.5 in the simple random sampling assumption.
Interview duration: 4-5 minutes.
Fieldwork dates: November 11-14, 2024.
