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The latest barometer of the month of June by GAD3 for ‘NIUS’ offers the following electoral estimation if a general election were to be held at this moment.
In a general election, the PP would win 149-153 seats and 36.6% of the vote. Next, the PSOE would win 106-110 seats and 28.5% of the vote. Sumar would reach 30-34 seats and 12.7 per cent of the vote. Finally, Vox would reach 26-30 MPs with 11.6% of the support.
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You can consult all the conclusions of the socio-political survey at the following link: NIUS
Universe: residents with the right to vote in Spain.
Scope: National.
Quotas: provinces, sex and age groups according to the distribution of the electoral census.
Information collection procedure: computer-assisted telephone interview (CATI) on mobile phones (494) and landlines (511).
Sample size: 1,005 interviews.
Sample error: 3.2% (N=1,005) for a confidence level of 95.5% (two sigmas) and under the worst-case scenario of P=Q=0.5 in the simple random sampling assumption.
Interview duration: 3-4 minutes.
Fieldwork dates: 27-28 June 2023.
GAD3 Institute: Calle Alcalá, 75, 28009 Madrid.
Client: NIUS Grupo Audiovisual Mediaset España Comunicación, S.A.U. Ctra. Fuencarral a Alcobendas, 4, 28049 Madrid.
