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Electoral estimate in the municipality of Toledo
The voting intention estimate conducted by GAD3 for May 2026 in the municipality of Toledo places the People’s Party (PP) as the political force with the highest level of electoral support, with a projected result of between 10 and 11 councillors and 37.9% of the vote intention. The PSOE would remain in second place, securing between 9 and 10 seats and 35.2% support. Vox would consolidate its position as the third political force, with 4 councillors and 14.6% of the vote. Meanwhile, Unidas – IU – Podemos would obtain 1 councillor and 5.8% support.
Technical details:
Universe: General population aged 18 and over with the right to vote.
Geographical scope: Municipal (Toledo)
Quotas: By sex and age, according to the population distribution by province (INE).
Data collection procedure: Telephone survey (503 CATI interviews) conducted using computer-assisted interviewing.
Sample size: 503 telephone interviews.
Questionnaire: Prepared by the client and validated by GAD3.
Margin of error: ±4.5% (n=503) for a confidence level of 95.5% (two sigma) and under the most unfavourable assumption of P=Q=0.5, assuming simple random sampling.
Interview duration: 4 minutes.
Fieldwork dates: From 24 to 27 April.
Institute: Gabinete de Análisis Demoscópico, S.L. (GAD3). C/ Hermosilla 8, 1º Dcha., 28001 Madrid, Spain.
