- Estimate of the survey carried out by GAD3 for the PSOE of Castilla la Mancha published by Europa Press.
The PSOE would obtain 42.9% of the vote and between 17 and 19 seats. The PP would get 11-12 seats and 28.5% of the vote cast. Seguidamente, el partido de Vox, alcanzaría los 3-4 diputados, con un 13,0% de estimación de voto. Unidad Podemos and Ciudadanos would not obtain representation and would reach 6.9% and 4.3% respectively.
You can read more details of the survey at the following link: Europa Press
Universe: general population over 18 years of age in Castilla La Mancha.
Scope: Autonomous Community.
Quotas: by sex, age and geographical area according to the electoral roll.
Information collection procedure: Computer-assisted telephone interview (CATI).
Sample size:1,202 interviews (605 fixed and 597 mobile) with the following distribution:
Sampling error: ±2.9% (n=1,202), for a confidence level of 95.5% (two sigmas) and under the worst-case scenario of P=Q=0.5 under the assumption of simple random sampling.
Interview length:5 minutes.
Fieldwork dates: 29 November to 03 December 2021.