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Analysis of the results of the GAD3 survey for ABC in Andalusia.
Following the publication of the survey for ABC, the results provide further insight into other indicators of the political climate in Andalusia: the assessment of leaders, preferences regarding the model of government, and the choice of regional president. These elements offer a complementary perspective on how citizens perceive the main politicians and which forms of governance they consider most appropriate.
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Assessment of political leaders
It shows differences both in absolute terms and in terms of change compared with the previous survey in June 2025:
- Juan Manuel Moreno achieved the highest score, with a 6.1 out of 10 in March 2026, a slight improvement on the 5.7 recorded in June 2025. He remains the only frontrunner to score above the pass mark.
- María Jesús Montero drops from 4.5 to 3.1.
- Manuel Gavira also sees a fall, from 4.4 to 2.9.
- Juan Antonio Delgado sees his rating fall from 3.5 to 2.7.
- Antonio Maíllo shows a slight improvement, rising from 3.8 to 4.0, making him the second-highest-rated leader at present.
- José Ignacio García also sees his score rise, from 3.7 to 4.0.
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Preference for government
As for preferences regarding the type of government in Andalusia, the most popular option is a single-party government led by the Popular Party, which stands at 41% in March 2026, compared with 32% in June 2025.
The second option is a coalition government between the PSOE, Por Andalucía, Adelante Andalucía and Podemos, with 23%, representing an increase from the previous 20%.
Support for a PP-Vox coalition government is also growing, standing at 16% (compared to 13% in the previous survey).
Support for a single-party PSOE government remains relatively stable, at 10% in March 2026 compared to 11% in June 2025.
On the other hand, the ‘none’ option has fallen (from 9% to 3%) and ‘don’t know/no comment’ (from 7% to 2%), whilst the ‘other’ category has also fallen slightly, from 8% to 6%.
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Preference for regional president
Preferences regarding who should be the next president of the Regional Government of Andalusia also show significant changes compared with the previous survey.
- Juan Manuel Moreno stands at 56%, a significant increase from the 42% recorded in June 2025.
- María Jesús Montero stands at 17%, down from the previous 20%.
- Manuel Gavira has fallen from 7% to 4%.
- Antonio Maíllo remains stable at 6%.
- José Ignacio García has seen his support rise from 3% to 5%.
Meanwhile, the ‘other’ option has risen from 1% to 2%. Responses of ‘none’ have fallen from 13% to 8%, and ‘don’t know/no comment’ have dropped from 5% to 2%.
Technical details:
Population and geographical scope: Regional level. Population aged 18 and over, resident in Andalusia.
Quotas: By gender and age, based on the distribution of the population by province (INE).
Data collection procedure: Computer-assisted telephone interviews (CATI); 685 interviews via mobile phones and 317 via landlines.
Sample size: 1,002 interviews.
Questionnaire: Proposed by ABC.
Sampling error: ± 3.2% (n=1,002), for a confidence level of 95.5% (two standard deviations) and under the most unfavourable hypothesis of P=Q=0.5 in the case of simple random sampling.
Duration of the interview: Approximately 4–5 minutes.
Fieldwork dates: 24–27 March 2026.
Institute: Gabinete de Análisis Demoscópico, S.L. (GAD3). C/ Alcalá 75 – 4th floor left, 28009 – Madrid
