-
The GAD3 survey for ABC and Vocento gives the following estimate of votes and seats per constituency.
The GAD3 poll for ABC and Vocento, published last Sunday, shows that PP would be the party that could win in 43 provinces and PSOE would only be first in 5. In terms of votes, PP would obtain 148-153 seats and 36.3% of the votes. Next would be PSOE with 113-116 MPs and 28.9% of the vote. Vox with 28-30 MPs and 12.1% of the vote. Finally, Sumar with 26 seats and 11.9% of support.
Read more:
You can consult all the conclusions of the socio-political survey at the following link: ABC
Universe: general population over 18 years of age with the right to vote.
Scope: national.
Information collection procedure: Computer-assisted telephone interview (CATI) to mobile and landline telephone (50%), using sampling by quotas of sex, age and geographical scope according to the distribution of the electoral roll.
Sample size: 3,502 interviews.
Daily sampling error: ± 1.7% (n=3,502) for a confidence level of 95.5% (two sigmas) and in the worst-case scenario of P=Q=0.5 in the simple random sampling assumption.
Interview duration: 3-4 minutes.
Questionnaire: 11 questions.
Fieldwork dates: 29 June to 7 July.
Estimation: Carried out by GAD3 (Calle Alcalá 75, 28009-Madrid).
