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GAD3’s latest barometer for the month of June for ‘ABC’ offers the following electoral estimation if a general election were to be held at this time.
In a general election, the PP would obtain 150-153 seats. The PSOE would get 101-104 seats. Then Vox with 33-35 seats. Finally, Sumar with 27-29 seats.
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You can consult all the conclusions of the socio-political survey at the following link: ABC
Universe: general population over 18 years of age with the right to vote.
Scope: National.
Quotas: by sex, age and geographical area according to the distribution of the electoral roll.
Information collection procedure: computer-assisted telephone interview (CATI) on mobile phone 983 and landline 1,024.
Sample size: 2,007 interviews.
Sample error: 2.2% (N=2,007) for a degree of confidence of 95.5% (two sigmas) and in the worst case scenario of P=Q=0.5 in the simple random sampling assumption.
Interview duration: 4 minutes.
Fieldwork dates: 5-8 June 2023.
