- Estimate of the survey carried out by GAD3 on the Partido Popular de Extremadura.
The PSOE would win between 29 and 30 seats. The PP would obtain between 27 and 28 seats. Podemos would be left with 3-4. Vox would enter the Assembly with 4-5 seats. Ciudadanos would not be represented in the next elections.
Universe: residents in Extremadura with the right to vote.
Quotas: by sex, age and geographical area according to the electoral census (INE).
Information collection procedure: Computer-assisted telephone interview (CATI).
Sample size: 802 interviews (401 to landlines and 401 to mobile phones, 504 in Badajoz and 298 in Cáceres).
Sampling error: ±3.5% (n=802), for a degree of confidence of 95.5% (two sigmas) and in the
worst-case scenario of P=Q=0.5 under the assumption of simple random sampling.
Interview length: 3-4 minutes.
Fieldwork dates: 26 to 31 October 2022.
You can read more details of the survey in the following link: Hoy Extremadura.