Election polls – science or witchcraft?

This colloquium focused on election forecasting, covering questions such as: What is the scientific basis of an election survey? How is the vote estimated? What are the most reliable methods? What role do the media play in the publication of polls?

Narciso Michavila stressed the importance of opinion polls in order to understand society’s decisions, “Polls are still just a tool, but today they are the most powerful tool we have to understand social reality”.