- Estimate of the survey carried out by GAD3 on the Madrid PP.
The PP would win 34.4% of the vote and 10 councillors. The PSOE would reach 8 councillors, with an estimated 27.6% of the vote. Ciudadanos would obtain between 0-1 councillors and 5.2% of the vote cast. Izquierda Independiente would win 2 councillors and 8.0%. VOX, 3 councillors and 11.8% of estimated vote. Más Madrid-IU-EQUO would obtain between 1-2 councillors and an estimated 6.1% of the vote. In the end, Podemos will not win any councillors.
You can read more details of the survey in the following link: Diario de Sanse
Universe: residents in San Sebastián de los Reyes with the right to vote.
Quotas: by sex and age groups according to the distribution of the population in the municipality (INE).
Procedimiento de recogida de información: Entrevista telefónica asistida por ordenador (CATI) a teléfonos fijos y móviles.
Sample size: 500 interviews (250 landline and 250 mobile phones)
Sampling error: ±4.5% (n=500), for a degree of confidence of 95.5% (two sigmas) and in the
worst-case scenario of P=Q=0.5 under the assumption of simple random sampling.
Length of interview: 4-5 minutes.
Fieldwork dates:17-18 October 2022.