- Estimate of the survey conducted by GAD3 for the PP (National).
The Popular Party would win 33.2% of the vote, with 143 deputies. El PSOE obtendría 104 escaños y el 26,0% de los votos emitidos. Next, Vox would reach 39 seats, with an estimated 13.9% of the vote. Unidas Podemos, would have 1924 seats and 10.4% of the vote. Meanwhile, Ciudadanos would not obtain any representation.
You can find all the conclusions of the socio-political survey at the following link: PP Survey
Universe: residents in Spain with the right to vote.
Quotas: by sex, age and geographical area according to the electoral census (INE).
Information collection procedure: Computer-assisted telephone interview (CATI).
Sample size: 1,209 interviews (554 landline and 655 mobile)
Sampling error: ± 2.9% (n=1,209) for a confidence level of 95.5% (two sigma) and under the worst-case scenario of P=Q=0.5 under the assumption of simple random sampling.
Length of interview: 4-5 minutes
Fieldwork dates: 16 to 21 December 2022.