- Estimación de la encuesta realizada por GAD3 al Grupo Municipal Popular (Ayuntamiento de Madrid)
The PP would win 45.6% of the vote and between 28 and 30 councillors. The PSOE would obtain 12 councillors and 19.4% of the vote cast. Next, Más Madrid would reach 10 councillors, with an estimated 16.6% of the vote. VOX would obtain 4-5 councillors and 7.9%. Ciudadanos would not win any councillors and would obtain 2.6% of the estimated vote. Finally, Unidas Podemos would obtain 5.2% of support and between 0 and 3 seats.
You can read more details of the survey at the following link: GMP Ayuntamiento de Madrid
Universe: residents of the city of Madrid with the right to vote.
Quotas: by sex, age and geographical area according to the electoral census (INE).
Information collection procedure: Computer-assisted telephone interview (CATI).
Sample size: 1,003 interviews (501 to landlines and 502 to mobiles)
Sampling error: ± 3.2% (n=1,003) for a confidence level of 95.5% (two sigma) and under the worst-case scenario of P=Q=0.5 in the simple random sampling assumption.
Duration of the interview: approximately 4-5 minutes.
Fieldwork dates: 06 -08 July 2022.