- The latest barometer for the month of April for the digital newspaper NIUSand the Mediasetgroup, prepared by GAD3, offers the following electoral estimates if elections were held in Andalusia at this time.
The Popular Party would win 38.2% of the vote, with 51 seats. PSOE would obtain 34 seats and 27.6% of the vote cast. Next, the Vox party would reach 17 deputies, with an estimated 14% of the vote. Ciudadanos would be left with 3.1% of the vote without a seat. Finally, Adelante Andalucía would accumulate 3.5% of the total Spanish vote with 1 seat and Por Andalucía would win 6 seats and 7.8% of the vote.
You can find all the conclusions of the socio-political survey by clicking on the following link: NIUS
Universe: residents with the right to vote in Andalusia.
Quotas: Province, sex and age groups according to the distribution of the electoral roll.
Data collection procedure: computer-assisted telephone interview (CATI) on mobile and landline phones.
Sample size: 1,002 interviews (499 mobile and 503 fixed) distributed proportionally in each of the provinces according to the electoral census.
Sampling error:3.2% (N=1,001) for a confidence level of 95.5% (two sigma) and under the worst-case scenario of P=Q=0.5 under the assumption of simple random sampling.
Interview length: 3-4 minutes.
Fieldwork dates: 26-28 April 2022.
Number of people interviewed:27
Responsible for vote estimation: Narciso Michavila, Sara Morais, Javier Ciria, Javier Sánchez, Pilar Sánchez.
Client: NIUS (Mediaset).