- The latest February barometer by GAD3 for the digital newspaper NIUS and the Mediaset group offers the following electoral estimates if a general election were to be held at this time.
The PP would obtain 146-150 deputies, and 33.9%. The PSOE would obtain 103-107 seats and 26.9% of the vote cast. Next, the Vox party would reach 37-39 deputies, with an estimated 13.4% of the vote. Unidas Podemos, would have 20-22 seats and 9.6% of the vote.
Read more:
You can find all the conclusions of the socio-political survey by clicking on the following link: NIUS
Fact sheet:
Universe: Residents with the right to vote in Spain.
Scope: National.
Quotas: provinces, sex and age groups according to the distribution of the electoral roll.
Data collection procedure: computer-assisted telephone interview (CATI) on cell phones (503) and landlines (498).
Sample size: 1,002 interviews.
Sampling error:3.2% (N=1,001) for a confidence level of 95.5% (two sigma) and under the worst-case scenario of P=Q=0.5 under the assumption of simple random sampling.
Duration of the interview: approximately 3-4 minutes.
Fieldwork dates: February 20 to 22, 2023.
