- The November barometer of GAD3 for NIUS offers the following electoral estimation if a general election were to be held at this moment.
PP (Partido Popular) would obtain 29.5% of the vote and between 124 and 128 seats. PSOE, would hold 96 – 100 seats and 24.9% of the vote cast. Next, Vox would reach between 47 and 49 deputies, with an estimated 14.7% of the vote. Unidas Podemos, would have 32 and 34 seats and 11.8% of the vote. Ultimately, Más Madrid would win 3 seats and Ciudadanos would win 1 seat.
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You can find more detailed information about the survey at the following link: NIUS
Fact sheet
Universe: general population over the age of eighteen resident in Spain.
Scope: National.
Quotas: sex, age groups and geographical distribution according to population distribution (INE).
Sample size: 1,001 interviews.
Data collection procedure: computer-assisted telephone interview (CATI) to landlines (506) and mobiles (495).
Sampling error: ±3.2% (n=1,001) for a confidence level of 95.5% (two sigma) and under the worst-case scenario of P=Q=0.5 under the assumption of simple random sampling.
Interview duration: 5 minutes.
Fieldwork dates: 8-11 November
