- The latest barometer for the month of May by GAD3 for the digital newspaper NIUS and the Mediaset group offers the following electoral estimation.
In the case of a general election, the PP would obtain 145-149 deputies. PSOE 105-109 MPs, Vox 38-40, Unidas Podemos 11-13 and Sumar 8-10.
In terms of the percentage of the vote in a municipal election, the PSOE would obtain 27.2% of the vote. PP 31.8%, Vox 7.5% and Podemos-IU 6% of the support.
Read more:
You can find all the conclusions of the socio-political survey by clicking on the following link: NIUS
Fact sheet:
Universe: Residents with the right to vote in Spain.
Scope: National.
Quotas: provinces, sex and age groups according to the distribution of the electoral roll.
Data collection procedure: computer-assisted telephone interview (CATI) on mobile phones (505) and landlines (506).
Sample size: 1,011 interviews.
Sampling error:3.2% (N=1,001) for a confidence level of 95.5% (two sigma) and under the worst-case scenario of P=Q=0.5 under the assumption of simple random sampling.
Duration of the interview: approximately 3-4 minutes.
Fieldwork dates: 8 to 9 May 2023.
