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The GAD3 survey for RCN yields the following results.
On 29 October, regional elections will be held in this country. For this reason, RCN wanted to evaluate, through GAD3, the voting intentions of the citizens for the mayoralties of the main cities.
In the case of Bogotá, Carlos Fernando Galán would become the candidate with the most support, with more than 32% of the votes. In Medellín, Federico Gutiérrez could be the next mayor with 66.6% support. Continuing with the list, in Cali, Roberto Ortiz would be the most voted with a percentage of 43.6 per cent. In Barranquilla, Alejandro Char would win the first position, with 81.2% of support. Finally, in Bucaramanga, Jaime Andrés Beltrán would receive 26.4% of the votes.
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You can consult all the conclusions of the socio-political survey at the following link: RCN
Legal entity that carried it out: GAD3 Colombia SAS.
Legal entity that commissioned it: RCN Televisión S.A.
Funding source: RCN Televisión S.A.
Type of sample and procedure used to select the sample units: Random selection of interviewees with compliance with quotas by sex and age and geographical quotas. Proportional allocation within each of the five municipalities under study.
Sample size: ≈400 interviews per municipality: Bogotá, Medellín, Cali, Barranquilla and Bucaramanga. Total: 2,021 interviews.
Study topic: Pre-election survey in five municipalities in Colombia.
Specific questions asked: 20 in the case of Bogotá and 17 in the rest of the municipalities. The questionnaire is attached.
Area (geographical universe and population universe): Municipal scope. Residents entitled to vote in Bogotá, Medellín, Cali, Barranquilla and Bucaramanga.
Technique used for sample selection: Computer-assisted telephone interviewing (CATI) of mobile phones in Colombia.
Collection date: 1 to 7 September 2023, a.i.
Margin of error: ± 5.0% (n=400) for a confidence level of 95.5% (two sigma) and under the worst-case scenario of P=Q=0.5 under the assumption of simple random sampling.
Statistician who designed the research: Doctor Narciso Michavila Núñez.
Sampling distribution:
