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The GAD3 survey for TVGA/Forta gives the following estimation of seats for the Galician regional elections
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On the occasion of the last regional elections to the Xunta de Galicia, GAD3 conducted a barometer commissioned by TVGA/Forta. This barometer predicted 39-40 seats for the Partido Popular de Galicia, 25-26 for the Bloque Nacionalista Gallego, between 9 and 10 for the PSOE de Galicia and contemplated the possibility of entry to Democracia Ourensana, obtaining between 0 and 1 seat.
Below, we offer the graphs of global autonomic precision and by provinces:
Technical data:
Universe: population of legal age with the right to vote in elections to the Galician Parliament.
Scope: Autonomous Community
Information collection procedure: Computer-assisted telephone interview (CATI).
Sample size: 3,320 interviews. Distribution by province:
Daily sampling error: ±1.7% (n=3,320) for a degree of confidence of 95.5% (two sigmas) and in the worst-case scenario of P=Q=0.5 under the assumption of simple random sampling.
Interview duration: approximately 4 minutes.
Questionnaire: prepared by GAD3 according to the objectives established by the client.
Fieldwork dates: February 1 – 17, 2024. By tracking poll methodology; used the same positions and schedules in the three weeks in order to measure definitive vote changes.
Estimation: Carried out by GAD3 (Calle Alcalá 75, 28009-Madrid).
