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The GAD3 survey for FORTA provides the following estimate of seats for the regional elections in Aragon.
Ahead of the regional elections in Aragon scheduled for 8 February, the voting intention poll conducted by GAD3 for FORTA in January 2026 places the Popular Party as the most voted party. The Popular Party would obtain between 26 and 29 seats and 35.2% of the vote. The PSOE would come in second with between 17 and 18 seats and 22.7% of the vote, while Vox would obtain between 13 and 14 seats and 17.6% of the vote. Next would be Chunta Aragonesista (CHA), with between 4 and 5 representatives and 8.7%, followed by Aragón Existe, which would win 2 and 3 seats and 4.1%. Finally, IU-Sumar would win between 1 and 2 seats with 4.2% of the vote.
Below are the regional accuracy charts:
By seats:
By % of support:
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Estimates by constituency: Huesca, Teruel and Zaragoza
In terms of the distribution of seats by province, in Huesca, the Popular Party would be the most voted party, obtaining between 7 and 8 seats, ahead of the PSOE, which would obtain 7 seats. Vox would obtain 2 representatives, while Chunta Aragonesista (CHA) would obtain 1 seat.
In the Teruel constituency, the Popular Party would win between 5 and 6 seats and the PSOE would win between 3 and 4 seats. Vox would win 3 seats in this province and Aragón Existe would win 2 seats.
Finally, in the province of Zaragoza, the PP would win between 14 and 15 seats, followed by the PSOE with 9 MPs. Vox would win 7 seats, while Chunta Aragonesista would win between 3 representatives, and Aragón Existe would win between 0 and 1 seat. IU-Sumar would win 1 seat.
Thank you to the 4,123 Aragonese citizens for their sincerity. Our success is theirs.
Technical details:
Universe and geographical scope: Regional scope. Population over 18 years of age, resident in Aragon.
Sample size: 4,123 surveys.
Sampling error: 1.6%
Questionnaire: Prepared by GAD3 and FORTA.
Institute: Gabinete de Análisis Demoscópico, S.L. (GAD3). C/ Alcalá 75 – 4º izquierda, 28009 – Madrid.
