- Estimate of the survey carried out by GAD3 for EL PUEBLO on future elections in Ceuta.
The PP would win 36.3% of the vote and 10 seats. The PSOE would obtain 5 seats and 20.2% of the vote cast. Next, VOX would reach 5 seats with an estimated 18.4% of the vote. MDyC would obtain 2 seats and 7.1%. Ceuta Ya obtendría el 6,0% y 1 escaño. Ceuta Avanza would reach 2 seats with 9.9%. Finally, Caballas and Ciudadanos would not win any seats.
Read more:
You can read more details of the survey in the following link: Pueblo de Ceuta
Fact sheet
Universe: residents in Ceuta with the right to vote.
Scope: regional. (Autonomous Community.)
Quotas: by sex, age and geographical area according to the electoral census (INE).
Information collection procedure: Computer-assisted telephone interview (CATI).
Sample size: 684 interviews (301 landline and 383 mobile)
Sampling error: ±3.8% (n= 684), for a degree of confidence of 95.5% (two sigmas) and in the
worst-case scenario of P=Q=0.5 under the assumption of simple random sampling.Length of interview: 4-5 minutes.
Fieldwork dates: 2 to 14 October 2022.
Institute:GAD3
