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The latest May poll by GAD3 for ABC offers the following estimates for the regional elections in Extremadura and the municipal elections in Cáceres and Badajoz.
In Extremadura, the PSOE would win between 29-30 seats. The PP would reach between 27-28 MPs. Next, Vox would obtain 4-5 seats. Finally, Unidas por Extremadura (Podemos-IU-AV) would obtain 3-4 seats and Vox would get 3-4 seats. Ciudadanos would not obtain representation.
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You can consult more information in the following link: ABC Extremadura Survey
Fact sheet:
Universe: residents in Extremadura with the right to vote.
Scope: regional and municipal.
Quotas: by gender, age and non-proportional geographical allocation.
Data collection procedure: computer-assisted telephone interview (CATI) to landlines and mobiles (50%).
Sample size: 1,004 interviews in total; 401 in Cáceres and 403 in Badajoz.
Sampling error: ± 3.2% (n=1,004); ± 5.0% (n=401); ± 5.0% (n=403) for a confidence level of 95.5% (two sigma) and under the worst-case scenario of P=Q=0.5 in the simple random sampling assumption.
Duration of the interview: approximately 3-4 minutes.
Fieldwork dates: 28 April – 3 May 2023.
