- Estimate of the survey carried out by GAD3 to Ciudadanos de la Comunidad Valenciana published by the newspaper El Español.
The PSPV would win 29.2% of the vote and between 31 and 32 seats. The PP would obtain 30-31 seats and 28.1% of the vote cast. Subsequently, Vox would reach 15 deputies, with an estimated 14.8% of the vote. Compromís would obtain 12-13 seats and 13.1% of the vote. Lastly, Ciudadanos would win 5 seats with 5.9% of estimated votes and Unides Podem – EUPV would win 4-5 seats, with 5.3%.
You can read more details of the survey by clicking on the following link: El Español
Universe: general population over 18 years of age in the Valencian Community.
Scope: regional. (Autonomous Community.)
Quotas: by sex, age and geographical area according to the electoral roll.
Data collection procedure:computer-assisted telephone interview (CATI).
Sample size: 2,404 interviews (1,199 with permanent staff and 1,205 with permanent staff) with the following distribution:
Sampling error: +-5.0% (401), +-5.8% (300), +-5.0% (400), +-2.0% (2,404) for a confidence level of 95.5% (two sigma) and under the worst-case scenario of P=Q=0.5 in the simple random sampling assumption.
Length of interview: 5-7 minutes.
Fieldwork dates:15 October to 4 November 2021.